Big-Picture Outlook
Libya continues to be closer than ever to reaching an agreement on a potential unity government, but all of the country's fault lines are under immense strain, pushing it closer to total dysfunction. Libya's ruling and competing factions are both negotiating with and contesting one another, with the usual eccentricities of Libyan politics being pushed beyond their limits and making information on the ground increasingly difficult to interpret.
Major Events This Week
- Around 100 members of the House of Representatives (HoR) attempted to hold a session to amend parliamentary rules in an effort to remove HoR Speaker Agila Saleh, but were prevented from entering the building by the LNA.
- United Nations Support Mission in Libya head Hanna Tetteh met again with members of the 4+4 committee, also known as the “mini-table”, and discussed the implementation of the 4+4 Agreement, which has yet to be ratified by the High Council of State (HCS).
- The Petroleum Facilities Guard continued to protest outside the Zawiyah Refinery over pay, while Zintani forces also shut down Pipeline Number 7. The National Oil Corporation threatened to declare Force Majeure but has not done so, likely due to political pressure. The crisis is likely related to the recent reshuffling of the Waha Oil Company's board, and negotiations to resolve the crisis are ongoing, with some reports suggesting that a solution might be close.
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Clients can use the link below to download the full report in PDF format, which expands on the stories mentioned and provides exclusive insights and reporting on the country’s major political and security issues.